Patrick Gregg
Good afternoon, everybody. So I’m going to build on what both John and Richard have talked about and help you understand just what an exciting point Austal is at. I’ll refer back to some historical information to help frame where we were 3-or-so years ago. And hopefully, that will you understand just what a great situation we’re in today. And I’ll fast forward a bit and help you understand some of the announcements we’ve made and what that’s going to look like for the future. And then because we built some very cool stuff, we’ll have a lovely video at the end to, again, show products that are actually happening.
So if I think about the situation we’re in at a minute, we’ve cleared or we’re clearing the slipway we’re ready for launch. We’ve had 3 pretty tough years, a lot of issues to deal with. And I think we’ve got through the vast majority of that. And the business is absolutely primed and ready for growth. In the last year, we delivered our EBIT guidance, pretty much bang on the middle of the range that we gave. And today, we’ll be giving more EBIT guidance for this year. Big issue that was overhanging us. We resolved the Department of Justice matter, and that really has freed us up to look towards the future, an issue that happened back in 2015, and we spent 4 years working on, having got that behind us really opens up in the future.
And as both John and Richard have talked about, relationships to the customer are vitally important. The whole team have worked incredibly hard in the United States and in Australia to build that relationship and to become a trusted partner. We are really committed to delivering on our commitments, and I think that’s really been recognized, and we’re in great shape today. So if we look back 3 years, we were probably stood here talking about what does Austal look like after LCS ends? That was the big question. You built 2 programs in the United States. One of them is going to end, what are you going to do? Is this the end? What does it look like? So I can now tell you around 13 programs in the United States. We’re working with Navy. We’re working with Coast Guard. We’re working in aluminum. We’re working in steel. We’re working in ships. We’re working in submarines.
It’s been a phenomenally hard 3 years and the diversity we now have in the business puts us in a really great place for long-term growth. That steel investment happened and we opened the facility back in 2022. It’s really hitting its stride now on some of the technology and the automation and the robotic welding we’ve got in there, this is a world-class shipbuilding absolutely at its best.
Submarine modules and the manufacturing facility. I’m going to show you pictures of that and help you understand what it is. But yes, helping people understand that, that $450 million announcement is to increase our facilities. We will then have those facilities for many, many years of revenue to go through the business. San Diego drydock, it is now in San Diego, and we’re working through this year to commission it. So again, another area of growth, not just shipbuilding, we set a target few years ago to get to $500 million of revenue by FY ’27.
You’ll see in the pictures of that dock and how that is going to enable us to hit those targets and indeed exceed them. And then thinking back here, 3 years ago, we were building the 13th Guardian. We’re now on the 21st or just delivered the 21st Guardian on the 11th Evolved Cape,and we’re now on 18th and appointed as the strategic shipbuilder in Western Australia, something that we could have only ever dreamed of, really.
For years, we’ve talked about the need for continuous naval shipbuilding, the efficiency and the certainty that we’ll put into the business and the employees. Whenever the government came out last November and announced us as a strategic shipbuilder, really put us into a new league and really paved the way for a long bright future. So we’ve put a lot of work into creating long-term value for our shareholders. The strategic growth opportunities, the order book that sits at $12.7 billion today, excluding everything that’s coming in Australia. That is probably the best part of $20-plus billion over 20 years.
So these are numbers we could never talk about. Business diversity and reducing risk. Whenever we had 2 programs, if we had a problem on one program, it just marked its way through the results and made shareholders pretty unhappy. That diversity of workload hopefully, when somebody is having a good day and somebody is having a bad day, we can actually still carry on delivering stable results as a business.
Lots of programs that we’ve won. We are moving from this transition phase and we’re now into the execution phase. So we’ve won the work. That’s arguably the hard bit. Whenever it’s execution, it’s much more in our control. Huge investments coming, whether that’s submarine modules or the land next door. And again, I’ll show you that on pictures. And I still think, even though we’ve had a great run in the share price in the last couple of weeks, whenever you look at how big this business is going to be in years to come, there’s still opportunity for share price growth.
So comparing some of this year’s stats to 3 years ago, some of these will help explain the situation we were entering. Ships ordered one back in 2021. So we were coming off a peak and we were entering a bit of a trough as we transitioned from the old LCS EPF programs into what’s new? This year, 13 ships ordered. So we are growing. There is more coming.
Ships under construction. That order book is there, and we’ve got the runway ahead of us. Ships delivered. Look at that record a year or 3 years ago, 19 ships delivered in a year, only 7 ships delivered this year. That gives me the confidence that we are back on the way up and look at what we have delivered in the past.
We know how to do this. Execution is what we do very well. We are ready for it. Ships under sustainment, recognizing sustainment a great part of our business, having delivered all those ships over the last few years. Lots more work and growth in the sustainment world. Service centers and shipyards very similar to where we were 4 years ago, but investment in those and making them ready for growth is what we focused on.
As the workload dropped off, the employees dropped off, but look at where we have been, we probably need 3,000 employees globally right now, 2,000 in the U.S., 1,000 in Australia as these programs come on board. We’ve run a bigger business. We know how we will do it. It’s not going to be easy, but we need to go out and win those people back and grow the revenue. And then the order book, very, very pleasing figure. Tendering is a difficult thing. Winning is even harder.
We’ve got that order book, and we’re not ready for delivery and execution. And again, revenue falling as the order book dropped off and ready to grow as we recruit people going forward. And what does that look like in pictures, I could have put 3 pictures up there 3 years ago. And here we are with some amazing opportunities.
Nuclear submarines would never have been on there. Nuclear submarine is probably a Navy’s greatest asset and something that will go for a very, very long time. So getting into that program is a tremendous opportunity for us. Top right, you see the Coast Guard also diversifying our customer base, working with the U.S. Coast Guard and the same way we work with the Australian Border Force building ships in steel and aluminum, they attach ship right in the middle, the first deal ship that we’re working through an incredibly big and complex ship.
And then looking forward to the future, whether it’s medium landing craft, heavy landing craft and the general-purpose frigate that the government have all announced great opportunities for Austal to go and get after. And then also really pleasing, 2 tremendous shipyards in the Philippines and Vietnam.
A few years ago, we moved our commercial work to those countries, so we could still be internationally competitive and it was really tough during COVID. People did not want to spend $100 million on a new boat whenever they were unsure as to whether they could get the revenue back on that.
Well, that’s changing. We have won 3 orders, and there are more in the pipeline. So we will see the Philippines and Vietnam continue to grow as we go forward. So pretty much exciting and great opportunities right across the business everywhere I look right now.
So some of the financial highlights. These were the year-end results. So as Richard talked about, last year was a tough year or the year before it was a tough year. We had the onerous contract with T-ATS, and that didn’t do us any favors. But having turned the corner coming back up, delivering $56.5 million of EBIT. We’ll talk about guidance soon. We spent a lot of money investing in the business, which had taken the cash down. We had an onerous contract, which serves our cash. But I’ve put the current cash figures in this presentation. That $450 million we got in the United States is a very front-ended load — front-end loaded cash positive contract, yes.
So right now in the bank account $396 million. We’ve gone from worrying about things are getting tight. We’ve got an onerous contract to our CFO, Christian worrying about what interest rate he can get on the cash we’ve got deposited in the bank.
So a big turnaround for us. It’s taken a bit of pressure off the immediate need for CapEx for final assembly too that we’ve been talking about for the last 18 months or 2 years. But again, we’ve got some good news on that on our way forward. So I’m pleased with where the financials are and where we’re going, and we should have turned that corner and just continue to grow.
What are these ships that we’ve looked at do in terms of bill generations and dates. If you’re a financial analyst and you want to go and build a model, this is absolutely in there to help you put your numbers in the right years. But for me, when I look at this, I look at the top and programs that are going on past 2034. So that longevity, that certainty we’re putting into the business allows us to attract people, train them, retain them with the work that we’ve got and really just continue to grow that business.
So you see what that looks like in the United States, and we’ve done the same thing with the Australian pipeline as well. Some of these things on contract and then down the bottom end of the slide, some of these opportunities. But again, look at the time lines. Historically, we’ve stood here and talked about, we can see 18 months look ahead. And having we done a great job keeping that going for 37 years, but winning some of these progress that put 10 years of certainty in the business is a very, very exciting place to be.
So what does that look like in terms of numbers, investment proposition? Share price has recovered recently, Fantastic. I think that’s where we closed last night. You’ll see from the EBIT, we had the disaster in FY ’23 with the onerous contract. You can see that turning a corner, and you can see that continuing to grow into the future. Order book absolutely stand out and puts the certainty in the business. And then that revenue growth, a representative line in there of how the revenue is going to grow in line with the programs that we’ve already won and what’s been announced to come in Australia.
So I think from an investment perspective, also still a great opportunity. So guidance, whenever we did full year results, we promised we put our guidance at the AGM, and here we are. So we’re guiding to an EBIT of $80 million this year. So you can see an increase again on last year. Consistent as we continue to get into the execution phase of these contracts. We’re optimistic that we’ll continue to grow the EBIT back to where it has been and indeed straight through that and years and years of growth ahead of us.
There’s always some complications in terms of the levers we’re pulling, what we’re wrestling with to try and pin the tail on the donkey and give you an exact number. And we’ve put some of those up there just to help you understand some of the things that we’re dealing with on a daily basis to try and make sure that we can manage the risks and the opportunities and come out and hit our numbers and keep everybody happy.
But I think that’s a number that’s very much in line with analyst estimates. And I think it should be well received today that we’re confident that we can deliver in line with it. So let’s have a bit of a run through some of the things that are going on in the business. I’m not going to go through every project, but I want to talk about things that are strategically important.
Yes. So in Australia, we are very committed to partnering with the Commonwealth with Navy, with Border Force. We’ve had an amazing track record of what we’ve delivered in the last few years, even during COVID, we kept the shipyard open. We continued delivering ships, and you look at the number of ships that are out there, there was very much a theme of Austal deliveries on time and on budget we can be relied upon by our customers. So really amazing delivery schedule from the guys here in Australia and also working with a whole lot of Australian partners in the supply chain.
Us winning a prime contract is great for a lot of people outside Austal. If we look at what’s happening in the U.S., so there have been a lot of announcements recently, and I wanted to put this in here just to try and help you understand exactly what’s happening. So if I use the pointer, this is kind of the existing shipyard as it is today. That’s the steel facility that we built a couple of years ago. So we cut metal here and we run down a production line, where modules, big sections of ship come out. They go to the completion sheds, final assembly sheds where the modules are joined together, turned into ships and we launch them out the front into the river, take them around to the vessel completion yard where we commission them and take them out into the Gulf of Mexico on sea trials.
So 2 announcements recently. We have been talking about final assembly 2. So this is all fine for aluminum ships, which are considerably lighter than steel. Steel obviously being 3x as dense as aluminum, it all weighs a lot more. And you’ll notice that the interstate disappears. Well, actually, it goes through a tunnel here under the river. And the tunnel can’t take the load of the major modules that we want to bring in. So we need a new vessel completion site for steel ships. We need heavier floor loading. We need bigger cranage.
And we actually want to build a ship lift out the front. So we can either launch ships or if we want to do maintenance on ships, we’ve got the ability to bring them up and do work on the ships. These are the 3 sheds that we want to build. And those are big enough for everything we foresee in the future. So not just the work we’ve won today, like the offshore patrol cutter or the T-AGOS surveillance vessel. Those will be big enough for frigate if they want to go for a second source or some of the bigger logistics ships that we see coming in the future.
So tremendous opportunity for us and a very exciting time that we’ve received a letter of support from an Australian government financing agency and for up to 50% of that $300 million, that should help us underpin the rest of the lending syndicate to allow us to come out in the near future and finalize exactly how we’re going to fund the building of that facility. So the other announcements that came a couple of weeks ago, again, very exciting. 2 module — 2 announcements back to back. One of them was the USD 450 million. So a piece of land that we bought a year ago, 2 years ago, in preparation for this.
This has been an awful lot of work in progress for our teams to try and secure this but a big purpose-built module facility that could build up to 20 submarine modules at any time. We will probably have 1,000 people working in that building, and you guys can do the calculations on revenue versus people, but that will be in the hundreds of millions of dollars of revenue that we add to the business going forward.
And that has been backed up with commitment from Electric Boat to put the work to us. And then the second announcement was around the submarine industrial based investment in the Alabama shipyard that was next door to us. The Navy have invested through us into a fund that has bought that shipyard with a view that they would like to develop it and it provides a great opportunity for future expansion and growth. Again, we’re not going to win or lose on that through the financial system, but it gives us first run of refusal on opportunities for the future. So Navy really backing us again to say, hey, we think you’re going places when you run out of space in a few years’ time, we’ve already secured the facility that you’re going to grow into.
So a very, very exciting opportunity. And I hope that helps to explain what the site’s going to look like in Mobile, Alabama in the next couple of years. Support business, I talked about. You can see the trend graph that we’re on track to hit our $500 million, maybe slightly ahead of it. Real focus to get the floating dock, which is a huge dock that we had built and delivered to San Diego. We’re now working with the various agencies, environmental agencies to make sure we can commission that dock and really take a big step forward in terms of the revenue we can generate in San Diego.
But recognizing we do this in other places as well, whether it’s supporting the U.S. Navy out of Singapore, whether it’s supporting Trinidad for the Capes and ferry that we delivered a few years ago or whether it’s here in Australia with the yards in Brisbane cans and Darwin, and that growing number of patrol boats being delivered, that will be stationed out in Cairns in the future, support is very much a great part of our business and one that has opportunity for growth as well.
So a few years ago, we talked about submarine modules and people kind of scratched their heads and said, what’s that? What can that be for the business? We spent the last 2 years working very hard on that. And hopefully now, we’ve been able to communicate just how lucrative that’s going to be and what a great deal that is for Austal.
Well, in the United States, we’ve been funded to set up an additive manufacturing center of excellence that Richard talked about in his speech. That is really going to support the U.S. Navy and their desire to get parts that are a traditionally forged a cast, built in a much more modern, much more reliable, much quicker fashion. And Austal’s right at the center of it. So we manage that facility.
We understand the IP. Arguably, we’re learning the recipes of multiple materials that are cold spread or additive manufactured or laser cut, their properties and the heat treatment. And every day, we’re delivering more and more components. We’ve delivered over 100 components — now 100 different components as part of this program to start delivering for the United States Navy.
Richard talked about AUKUS and Pillar 2 of AUKUS, which is more focused on the technology and things like that. I think this is a prime example of AUKUS in action. We’ve been funded by the United States Navy. We’re doing the development work. We’re proving the products. That is very easy for us to replicate that capability here in Australia. And imagine if the United States Navy needed a part for a U.S. submarine that is under maintenance here in Paris as per Richard Marles’ announcement last week and the submarine maintenance coming.
While someone in Austal can receive an order in the United States, press a button, send the recipe down the tube that pops out on a 3D printing machine right here, and we can walk out the door and deliver the part to the United States Navy. So just a bit of a teaser to get you excited about what the future looks like and where we’re going, but another great opportunity that I wanted to talk about. And I’ll link that with things autonomy. So in the U.S., we’ve still delivered the largest autonomous ship in the U.S. Navy, the EPF 13. And here in Australia, we took the patrol boat autonomous or sentinel, as we call it, the old Armadale that we bought, converted, it was able to drive itself to Geraldton and being controlled right out of the Henderson office. And we’ll have a little look at a video on that later on.
But that’s got to be a good opportunity for the future. And this is Austal demonstrating whether it’s United States or whether it’s Australia. We are autonomous capable. We understand the technology and we can absolutely do it. So I think we’re doing a good job at focusing on what we’ve got to deliver today and execute the contracts we’ve got.
And we’ve got half an eye in the future about where all the growth is going to come from. So if I talk about — just to summarize things as I see it, as we’ve gone through, the record order book in the U.S. and what’s coming in Australia puts us in a great place. Positive momentum with the announcement on the Henderson precinct. I’m pretty pleased that the government while it was frustrating for a while, we did a defense strategic review, and that took a bit longer and then we weren’t certain on the output and then we did a fleet review.
Well, to be fair, and they said, this is what we’re going to do. And every announcement is consistent with they said they’re going to do. So in my mind, they are delivering on their commitments and long may it continue because we’ve had many years of uncertainty, and this is putting a whole lot of certainty into the system very, very exciting time. And our underlying business is performing pretty well. You can see that from the numbers, the growth in the EBIT. Still a couple of challenges out there.
We want to finalize the funding for the facilities in the U.S. that we’re going to invest in. We’ve still got the T-ATS program that we talked about last year. We need to resolve that with Navy. Great conversations happening. And I think based on how supportive they’ve been of Austal generally, it’s hard to imagine they’re going to stiff us on T-ATS issue.
So we’ll continue to work with that and do everything we can to get that resolved this year. The growth in Australasia, very exciting with the strategic shipbuilding agreement, the commercial orders that we’ve looked at. Support business going really well towards its targets and the floating dock there. The CapEx that’s happening, whether it’s funded by U.S. Navy, whether it’s funded by Austal, but we are setting that yard up to be probably the most modern, the best equipped shipyard in the United States, really, really exciting time.
We’re in that transition and the growth of people is going to be pretty exciting. It’s great that we’ll be able to grow both in the U.S. and here and provide longevity of jobs and revenue for the company. Still more opportunities. We talked about AUKUS, I’ve given you some examples through additive manufacturing, through autonomy. I think we’re only scratching the surface of AUKUS at the minute. The focus is still very much on the submarines and how they’re going to get those.
But the whole Pillar 2 side of AUKUS, I think Austal’s really well placed to try and grab that. Relationships are critically important. Whether it’s through tendering processes, whether it’s with customers that we’re building boats for, whether it’s boats in service, we are working very hard to build that relationship and be a reliable partner for the very long time.
And I think my summary is we have come through the last 3 years of transition, and we’re into the execution and growth phase. So very, very exciting time from my perspective. and I will leave you with a video showing you the autonomous patrol boat.
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